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At some point, when the narrative achieves plenty of currency with generalist investors that the generalist money will come into the precious metals space, Management changes from gold to silver.
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• What if the Fed is forced to chop the fed funds rate by in excess of the current forecast of just fifty foundation points?
In summary, these economies and governments are trying to guard their equilibrium sheets from fiat currency devaluation, identical to we do as investors. They're endeavoring to diversify absent from U.S. dollars in their foreign exchange reserves. We use terms like weaponization of your dollar.
Why? See this next series of charts. First, this chart of gold from last year's macrocast. They are annual candlesticks going back to 1997. Be aware the breakout and new once-a-year closing high that transpired in 2023. This efficiently foreshadowed the gains of 2024.
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The good news website here is that All round sovereign demand has remained strong into year-close 2024 and demonstrates no signal of letting up in 2025. The much-publicized halt of Formal Chinese purchases back in May was reversed by November, and even Goldman Sachs acknowledged that off-textbooks Chinese gold need might be as much as 10X higher than formally reported.
As such, they foresee just two fed funds rate cuts within the next year for a total of just fifty foundation points. Here's their Summary of Economic Projections from the December FOMC meeting:
Putting it all with each other, when we Merge a softer dollar, decreased interest rates, in addition to a weaker economy with the continuance of central bank physical gold demand from customers, We have got the recipe for an additional year of robust gains ahead.
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Bibliography Lists
https://www.marketwatch.com